Rwanda Conflict and Its Resolving Options

Case Analysis

On April 1994, after the assassination of Hutu’s President, Juvenal Habyarima, the state of Rwanda fell into political turmoil. The turmoil is said to be instigated by the Hutu community, who are 85% of the majority and thought to be the Minority group against the Tutsi’s, who are 15 % of the population and thought to be the majority. Aside from the assassination of Juvenal, Rwandan upheavals between the two communities did not begin in 1994. They began many years ago when these territories were still colonies to Belgium. However, after the end of colonization, the tension became clear. Hutus hoped to exert their pressure on Tutsis. By 1973, Juvenal, who was the president, used the slogan “Hutu Power.” It is no wonder that after his assassination, the Hutus soldiers triggered the mayhem blaming it on Tutsis (Spiegel 227).

The Goal of the Policy Maker

The goal of the policymaker in this case is to find the mechanism to neutralize the conflict between the two communities, lessen suffering and reduce any further instance of violence. Taking into account mentioned three goals, it is fair to state that the possibility of using force is also high. This possibility of using force poses another challenge of convincing the international community that has just witnessed how peacekeeping troops were murdered in Somalia. The value for humanity remains a factor to consider, and even though tension is high, the necessity to contain peace and play the part of the UN is critical. Finding the way forward without causing any further deaths remains the most critical objective. Therefore, the only appropriate method is the one that will be free of doubts as the stakeholders will be aware of the existing severity of the case.

Available Options Concerning the Case

In such a case, analysis of all stakeholders, who are involved, is of utmost essence. There is the mentioning of the Rwandan Patriotic front, a political party of Tutsis, who had exiled to Zaire and kept the interest of the country at heart (Spiegel 227). There are also other individuals in the Hutu community who the UN might call for talks to find a mechanism to quell the conflict. The second option is the use of the peacekeeping troops by deploying them in the country. This will involve clearance from the host country and approval from the UN council and member states that have their troops in the UN. The last option is a consultation with the neighboring states on how the peacekeeping mission can be resolved while witnessing the contribution of the UN troops. This will involve their contribution as they will also suffer the effect of the fight since there are refugees who run for safety in their country.

Comparison of the Options

Below are the options available in suppressing the mayhem in comparison to the likelihood of using them.

Available Based on Rank (highly effective to the least) Variables of Comparison
Time Uncertainty/ Certainty Risk
  1. Involving the neighboring Countries and deploying UN troops
It could take additional time in settling peace as refugees might be reluctant to go back to their home country even after peace is restored. The level of uncertainty in ending the mayhem reduces as there will be more stakeholders. The risk will be lower in comparison to other methods available. However, the neighboring states must be convinced to give a hand.
  1. Deployment of UN troops to quell the Conflict
This method might take less time to resolve the problem. Unfortunately, the severity of deaths is quite high as the troops are involved. This method falls in the middle of the continuum, while peace is easy to restore, the damage might be high. Additionally, very few countries may be willing to let their troops unless they are aware of the full intention of the operation. The risk is the highest as there is a high possibility of retaliation meaning there might be more deaths.
  1. Inviting the stakeholders for talks
It takes the longest time and probably might not take place as the fight is already on. The certainty that the members of the two communities are not willing to join hands in the talks is very high. In the current situation, it is not easy to call cease-fire to involve them for talks. Thus, risk is high.

Justification Involving the Neighboring Countries and Deploying UN Troops

Involving the neighboring countries and deploying troops in the country to hold on peace seem the best option. It is clearly visible from the tension in the UN that using a single force instead of a conjoined effort is not only next to impossible, but also highly unlikely to resolve the conflict. While there might be only fewer troops since the US is against the idea of the war in reference to the case of Somali, all stakeholders need to be aware that in times of war, any stakeholder within the chaos is likely to endure the effect of war. Therefore, neighboring countries should offer their contribution as they could also suffer a spillover of chaos or refuges in their countries.

What Could Go Wrong

In suppressing the war, stakeholders must be aware that the possibility of death occurrence is very high and that all individuals could be victims. Additionally, there will be a high number of refuges. This implies that they must be willing to host them until peace restores. Other issue that might come up is the need for humanitarian amenities. Although the UN may offer their contribution, other support groups will be involved in resolving the political upheaval.

Works Cited

Spiegel, Steven L. World politics in a new era. Oxford New York: Oxford University Press, 2012. Print.

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