Mathematical Analysis of Ship Towing Simulation

Introduction

Before launching a real ship into the water, tests must be conducted to assess possible risks and potential problems that the ship may encounter during launching. Obviously, such tests consume a considerable number of resources and time, so it is necessary to resort to large-scale modeling with a high degree of accuracy, repeating the processes of towing a ship on a much smaller scale. Such modeling is based on mathematical operations to calculate predictive values of variables, as well as to determine the type of relationship between them. In this report, the simulation was used for a Basis-type ship object with a mass of 1.65 kg. The object was placed in an oblong pool filled with water so that it was kept afloat. At the same time, a thread was attached to the front end of the ship, pulling the ship horizontally along the central axis. For this one-dimensional motion, velocity values at specific points in time were measured using Minitab, resulting in a data table that listed velocity and time values. Based on this data, mathematical analysis was performed to accomplish the following tasks:

  • Determine the nature of the relationship between velocity and time and answer the question of whether the relationship is linear.
  • Perform regression to determine the relationship between velocity and resistance.
  • Determine the quality of the signal using the SNR.
  • Perform practical calculations.

Thus, this research report is a sequential work with mathematical operations to the measured data. The report is a valuable material for demonstrating the student’s skills in differentiation and integration as well as working with statistical methods of analysis.

Experimental Procedure

As mentioned above, the primary measurement in this simulation was to collect velocity data as a function of time for a Basis type object. The data was recorded automatically using Minitab and then transferred to MS Excel for analysis. The analysis properly included both a regression test and the construction of visual representations of the dependencies in order to explore the relationships between the variables in greater depth. In addition, manual calculations of differentiation and integration of functions were performed for the report in order to find the necessary expressions and values. A total of five consecutive tests were performed for the horizontal motion of the vessel — of which the data from the fifth test were chosen as the most acceptable and exciting for the analysis. Nevertheless, the report summarizes the results for all five tests where required.

Results and Discussion

The first part of this research report was to use the velocity and time data for a scale model of the ship in order to study the acceleration and distance functions. For this purpose, the original data from the fifth test were trimmed accordingly (see Appendix A) to avoid unnecessary bias and interference: a total of 320 observations were recorded for times ranked from 1.41 to 13.31 seconds. The scatter plot of these data is shown in Fig. 1 below:

Scatter plot for the data and regression analysis performed (MS Excel)
Figure 1: Scatter plot for the data and regression analysis performed (MS Excel)

As follows from this figure, the velocity is an ascending function up to a particular value of time, but then it does not change much. In other words, this relationship cannot be classified as linear. From a visual point of view, the scale model of the ship starts moving at a uniform velocity from about the sixth second. Meanwhile, this figure also contains information about the regression analysis; namely, it shows the equation of the regression model. The assignment stated that the regression curve should have the best fit, and an estimate of such a parameter is R2. The value of 0.9924 shown in the figure defines an excellent level of fit, which means that this model satisfies the requirement of reliability and increased accuracy (Bloomenthal, 2021). From the equation shown, it can be paraphrased to get the expression for the velocity function of the scale model of the ship:

Formula

The value of the y-intercept when t = 0 is negative for this function. In practice, this would mean that the ship model was moving in the opposite direction before the test began, which is not true and rather determines the error of the regression line (Rajai, 2022). The velocity expression can be integrated to obtain the path function:

Formula

The integration bounds are not chosen by chance: they are the initial and final reference points for the ship’s test, chosen for the analysis (see Appendix A). Accordingly, the search for the velocity function followed by the setting of integration bounds will allow us to obtain the value of the total distance the ship has traveled during this time, namely:

Formula

It means that during the elapsed time, the scale model of the ship has passed a total distance equal to 11.935 meters. Limiting the integration on the left side to zero-time value (t = 0), that is, from the very beginning of the test, the total distance traveled will be slightly corrected to 11.518 meters, which is caused by errors in the regression model. This parameter is a reliable result because it is well known that a particular integral of the velocity function determines the area under the curve, equal to the distance traveled. It is worth specifying that similar values can be obtained for all trials, assuming that the velocities in each run changed according to similar functions and the time was the same and that any changes could be due to statistical errors. The original velocity function can be differentiated, which would lead the polynomial in the opposite direction, that is, in the direction of decreasing its degree. This will provide a mathematical expression for the acceleration as a function of time:

Formula

The resulting expression can be used to calculate the acceleration at any point in time within the sample. For example, at t = 0, the acceleration was:

Formula

Formula

Although this was not part of the assignment, it is interesting to evaluate this function in terms of mathematical analysis. In particular, the acceleration here is a quadratic expression, with the branches of the parabola pointing upward because the highest term of the polynomial has a positive value. The function crosses the vertical axis at 0.6153, so it can be cautiously concluded that the acceleration had both a downward and upward trend during this time. However, the acceleration should have been zero under ideal conditions at that point, that is, the model was moving uniformly.

In this part of the assignment, it was necessary to use the velocity and drag data of the scale model of the ship in order to perform a regression analysis. Table 1 below provides information on the five measurement points (see Appendix B) for the V and R/V variables collected:

Velocity and R/V data collected during the simulation
Table 1: Velocity and R/V data collected during the simulation

In addition, this table also contains information about the coefficients required to calculate the Pearson correlation. It is appropriate to emphasize here that mathematically, the Pearson correlation corresponds to a parameter of the relationship between two numerical variables, namely direction and strength (Obilor and Amadi, 2018). Evaluating such a parameter allows drawing conclusions about how one variable behaves when the other changes and whether their relationship is strong. The following calculations were used to find the Pearson correlation coefficient:

Formula

It is possible to substitute the known values from Table 1:

Formula

Formula

It follows that the correlation between the variables was 0.928. Given that +1 is the upper positive threshold of this parameter, it can be postulated that there is an extremely strong positive relationship between the variables (Obilor and Amadi, 2018). This means that an increase in V leads to a corresponding increase in R/V. Increasing this parameter to the second power gives a coefficient of determination R2, which is 0.8612, which implies that the regression model can cover up to 86.12% of the variance in the data (Bloomenthal, 2021). To assess this dependence even further, a regression analysis is needed: this will determine the numerical influence of one variable on the other (Kumari and Yadav, 2018). To do this, from the already prepared coefficients (Table 1), it can be calculated the slope:

Formula

Formula

Formula

The positive value of the slope coefficient determines the upward trend of the linear regression; it follows that an increase in V does lead to an increase in R/V, with this increase being +0.832 in R/V for every one m/s increase in V. At the same time, the y-intercept function determines over any of the set points. For convenience, let us take the last point, namely (1.28, 0.69):

Formula

Formula

The y-intercept of the linear function turned out to be negative, that is, at zero velocity, R/V turns out to be -0.375. However, this does not make sense in the context of the real simulation since R/V should also be equal to zero since there was no resistance in the absence of velocity. This discrepancy is due to statistical error. Then the final linear regression equation is:

Formula

Or in terms of variables used:

Formula

This equation, obtained by manual calculations, can be checked using MS Excel. In particular, the program allows the automatically calculating the regression equation for the variables, as shown in Fig. 2:

Dependence of R/V on velocity for ship model (MS Excel)
Figure 2: Dependence of R/V on velocity for ship model (MS Excel)

As can be seen, the constructed regression equation is similar to the one calculated manually, but there are some deviations. Such differences are due to forced rounding in manual calculations to avoid time-consuming calculations. MS Excel does not round values so much, so the regression equation obtained in Fig. 2 should be regarded as more accurate. Nevertheless, the nature of the relationship, the upward trend, and the overall reliability of the constructed model appear to be close in the two calculation methods.

The third part of this report was to evaluate the reliability of the transmitted signal using SNR. SNR is a measure of signal accuracy and usefulness in technologies, showing the ratio of useful information to noise. In general, the higher this figure, the better the transmission. For the SNR calculations in this part, the fifteen points have been chosen from the area in Figure 1 that is close to the maximum rate. This data is shown in Table 2:

Table 2: Data of fifteen selected points, which are close to the maximum velocity value

T (s) 12.925 12.953 12.981 13.009 13.036
V (m/s) 1.167 1.223 1.222 1.184 1.215
T (s) 13.064 13.091 13.119 13.147 13.174
V (m/s) 1.221 1.199 1.178 1.207 1.189
T (s) 13.202 13.230 13.257 13.285 13.312
V (m/s) 1.199 1.153 1.201 1.134 1.123

The formula for calculating the SNR is as follows:

Formula

It includes the mean value and the sample standard deviation for the velocity data, which means that finding these values is the primary step for calculating SNR. MS Excel allows calculating them automatically:

Formula

Formula

Then SNR equals:

Formula

This indicator defines an extremely high SNR level, which, according to Cisco (2020), indicates that it can be used for the transmission of even sensitive data. In other words, the level of interference in this signal is extremely low.

This part shows practical calculations for a given function of the distance the ship travels:

Formula

The expression for velocity can be obtained by differentiating the above function by time:

Formula

Formula

After six seconds, the velocity will be:

Formula

Formula

The velocity is equal to zero at the following points in time:

Formula

Formula

Formula

Formula

Formula

Since time cannot be negative, the ship’s velocity is zero at 1.884 seconds after the start of the test. The function for acceleration is obtained by differentiating the velocity:

Formula

Formula

And after four seconds, the acceleration is:

Formula

Formula

Time at which the acceleration is zero:

Formula

Formula

Finally, the original equation for distance is used to calculate the total path after ten seconds:

Formula

Formula

Conclusion

In this research report, mathematical operations were performed to study in detail the simulation of the towing of the Basis ship on a water basin. It was shown that the velocity of this ship is not a linear function of time but is well described polynomially. The signal for the data analysis was clean, so the results can be considered dependable. The reliability of the calculations performed is also confirmed statistically: the results of manual calculations did not differ significantly from the automatic calculations in MS Excel and were due to statistical errors. All of the above points to the fact that the objectives of this report have been achieved and the values and conclusions obtained can be used in further ship design.

Reference List

Bloomenthal, A. (2021) Coefficient of determination. Web.

Cisco (2020) Signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) and wireless signal strength. Web.

Kumari, K. and Yadav, S. (2018) ‘Linear regression analysis study’, Journal of the practice of Cardiovascular Sciences, 4(1), pp. 33-36.

Obilor, E.I. and Amadi, E.C. (2018) ‘Test for significance of Pearson’s correlation coefficient’, International Journal of Innovative Mathematics, Statistics & Energy Policies, 6(1), pp. 11-23.

Rajai, A. P. (2022) Can velocity be negative: why, when, how, different scenarios and problems. Web.

Appendix: Velocity and Time Data Used for the Analysis

Time (s) Velocity (m/s)
1.4122558 0.036898851
1.4392473 0.074155046
1.4879422 0.082208382
1.536126 0.14539046
1.5848945 0.18468952
1.6329781 0.18732017
1.6763491 0.20767449
1.7212413 0.17834387
1.746659 0.23623976
1.7923092 0.19730566
1.8184731 0.19125209
1.8468097 0.24722324
1.8930337 0.25980851
1.9385519 0.28582295
1.9870089 0.30979465
2.0361903 0.32558023
2.0847744 0.30898435
2.1096199 0.32224184
2.1374787 0.32331021
2.1655922 0.3559783
2.2071979 0.33675509
2.2321726 0.40071867
2.274737 0.39970702
2.3004732 0.38886108
2.3284693 0.42896555
2.3710397 0.44666803
2.4190135 0.43808142
2.4442903 0.43552153
2.4715982 0.47642424
2.5216097 0.44024249
2.5466441 0.47971443
2.5740836 0.47413923
2.6029971 0.51919525
2.6461129 0.53386327
2.6904232 0.54205854
2.7388569 0.55789796
2.7877954 0.55214455
2.8143387 0.56555481
2.859911 0.57096816
2.885844 0.57886508
2.9386597 0.58740589
2.9880928 0.60735414
3.0377675 0.64469514
3.0779506 0.67244882
3.1257505 0.66998074
3.1508661 0.67739837
3.1942789 0.69157926
3.2429068 0.67915374
3.2682548 0.67118718
3.2951181 0.7078371
3.343094 0.73010355
3.3906756 0.75718532
3.4394725 0.75883764
3.4648003 0.75074936
3.4923177 0.76374963
3.5199296 0.76113636
3.5475653 0.76047961
3.5792328 0.7900704
3.6226321 0.807095
3.6716994 0.83623935
3.7163749 0.82884176
3.741601 0.8331216
3.7694191 0.8634235
3.8185492 0.85554073
3.8441281 0.86075402
3.8716528 0.87262699
3.9223 0.86943379
3.9473039 0.88054876
3.994629 0.88817205
4.043134 0.90783182
4.0907105 0.92554854
4.1307979 0.92370348
4.1568321 0.9610279
4.2077832 0.92317297
4.233086 0.94925394
4.2607051 0.94211213
4.2885449 0.97059316
4.3382038 0.94719528
4.3640103 0.96950332
4.391797 0.97244882
4.4196721 1.0052658
4.464752 0.99900622
4.4897527 1.0007565
4.5176691 1.0037767
4.5455454 1.0052223
4.5737809 1.0278785
4.6254381 1.0074233
4.650528 1.0370805
4.6970897 1.0102016
4.7232857 1.0314999
4.7517047 1.056456
4.7941335 1.0378404
4.8199663 1.0459992
4.8479425 1.0731775
4.8973226 1.0538798
4.9227708 1.1011315
4.9669703 1.0641918
4.9923464 1.1042619
5.0208768 1.0874094
5.0492001 1.0953592
5.0770604 1.0776423
5.1056473 1.0852623
5.1341575 1.0881807
5.1622586 1.1040187
5.1904938 1.0987784
5.217984 1.1285541
5.2652919 1.1211961
5.2903523 1.1181742
5.317896 1.0900307
5.3453853 1.1285912
5.3732963 1.1473967
5.4162643 1.1412759
5.442203 1.1188917
5.4706649 1.1251894
5.4992025 1.157271
5.5511476 1.1367015
5.5775494 1.1371746
5.6058184 1.1328665
5.6329803 1.1421992
5.6612209 1.1694423
5.7035764 1.1577783
5.7286769 1.1961277
5.7717864 1.160743
5.7978782 1.1506853
5.8258949 1.1430701
5.8543525 1.1956912
5.8824338 1.1760795
5.9102923 1.1495599
5.9381429 1.1498838
5.9660301 1.1842646
5.9938019 1.1891815
6.021409 1.1600297
6.048793 1.2060253
6.0993538 1.1678222
6.1252265 1.1991126
6.1532069 1.180317
6.1819214 1.184995
6.2105481 1.188631
6.2382312 1.1929936
6.2658002 1.197931
6.293576 1.1890135
6.3218191 1.1693424
6.3494964 1.2293997
6.3916479 1.1871254
6.417829 1.1849837
6.4462942 1.1953742
6.4748098 1.1932611
6.5030269 1.2058853
6.5302654 1.212467
6.5575178 1.1751266
6.5882749 1.1713757
6.6188367 1.211607
6.6470991 1.2039535
6.6748893 1.1883936
6.7029353 1.2132441
6.730274 1.1714159
6.7575294 1.2117151
6.7851274 1.1966732
6.8132379 1.2104562
6.8410466 1.2235949
6.8683285 1.2105353
6.8958019 1.1656758
6.9239387 1.2093264
6.9518165 1.220561
6.9794905 1.193384
7.0075811 1.2113146
7.0351227 1.1991257
7.0705608 1.1860904
7.0982294 1.1936184
7.1263363 1.2106122
7.154244 1.2192541
7.1823992 1.2085356
7.2103685 1.2165698
7.2384676 1.1753341
7.2660782 1.2323699
7.2942244 1.2089244
7.3224487 1.2055758
7.3497995 1.2074894
7.3776543 1.1856378
7.4059478 1.2026305
7.4341253 1.2075776
7.4623904 1.2392448
7.5052101 1.19197
7.5303412 1.2344992
7.5584523 1.2104302
7.5868897 1.1965415
7.6142716 1.2061184
7.6425267 1.2396816
7.6713568 1.1802432
7.6990475 1.22881
7.7273437 1.2025151
7.755197 1.2216324
7.7827102 1.2003623
7.8103372 1.2316428
7.8373556 1.185301
7.8650104 1.2304061
7.8930376 1.2140542
7.9209118 1.2207196
7.9485674 1.2303658
7.9760311 1.202526
8.0038096 1.2249245
8.0314619 1.1943219
8.0588577 1.2420376
8.0872263 1.1994443
8.1144328 1.2138929
8.1420939 1.2301241
8.1694884 1.2055602
8.1964755 1.2237635
8.224116 1.2310376
8.2516186 1.2008234
8.2788034 1.2516774
8.324248 1.2112107
8.3501013 1.2000086
8.3772432 1.2167819
8.4048325 1.2333272
8.4320221 1.2146476
8.4594664 1.2033724
8.4870928 1.2316697
8.5146452 1.1986528
8.5424237 1.2249245
8.5700821 1.2302449
8.5978582 1.2250309
8.6256306 1.2251907
8.6535625 1.1823706
8.6817593 1.2422429
8.7099372 1.2075646
8.7374546 1.236547
8.7656837 1.2053696
8.7934984 1.2233293
8.8210647 1.198049
8.8486138 1.2351244
8.875741 1.2174453
8.9036106 1.2209179
8.9311633 1.1986397
8.9584682 1.2461704
8.9870463 1.2256714
9.0156036 1.2265653
9.0438599 1.2042107
9.0720764 1.2413791
9.1002886 1.2060918
9.1280243 1.2268174
9.156286 1.2039792
9.1840681 1.2247648
9.2117449 1.2294265
9.2395654 1.1871043
9.267627 1.2125655
9.2953641 1.2267507
9.3238647 1.2290075
9.3523226 1.2308456
9.3801253 1.1878647
9.4082524 1.2453224
9.436011 1.2258036
9.464107 1.2110804
9.4916808 1.2340157
9.519869 1.207125
9.5473613 1.2012717
9.575093 1.226991
9.6046913 1.2172354
9.6328779 1.2426952
9.6609827 1.2107032
9.6890356 1.2486186
9.7170981 1.2125263
9.7456312 1.192529
9.7734807 1.2218045
9.8013464 1.2210898
9.8292595 1.2548702
9.8569487 1.1927335
9.8841697 1.2132468
9.9118739 1.2282075
9.9393889 1.2366555
9.967769 1.234223
9.9955535 1.2246583
10.023816 1.2039663
10.052329 1.2284611
10.081307 1.2087425
10.109164 1.2214868
10.136958 1.2242194
10.165395 1.2317732
10.193393 1.2153238
10.22097 1.2338672
10.248472 1.2372527
10.27594 1.2387483
10.303234 1.2099998
10.330699 1.2024599
10.357938 1.212467
10.385567 1.2315486
10.413415 1.2218443
10.441418 1.2151142
10.469366 1.2175027
10.496274 1.227374
10.523811 1.1993097
10.551155 1.2077826
10.579832 1.1865416
10.607495 1.2662213
10.655697 1.2249734
10.681852 1.2244513
10.710136 1.2030027
10.73796 1.2229312
10.765764 1.2237941
10.793294 1.1996516
10.820973 1.1931758
10.848456 1.2380817
10.875908 1.2030416
10.903712 1.2237808
10.931267 1.1985477
10.958662 1.2055469
10.986441 1.2248978
11.014326 1.2202703
11.041739 1.2047107
11.069772 1.2138058
11.097611 1.2222682
11.125963 1.2001594
11.153889 1.218437
11.181766 1.1847006
11.209591 1.2228914
11.237372 1.188781
11.266107 1.2189892
11.294293 1.2072284
11.32307 1.2171992
11.351145 1.2119527
11.378963 1.1872202
11.407239 1.2387553
11.435504 1.2038763
11.463467 1.2168062
11.491296 1.2227189
11.51989 1.1899735
11.54816 1.2036578
11.576162 1.2151142
11.604329 1.2080434
11.632209 1.1845595
11.661137 1.2108741
11.689459 1.2367354
11.717395 1.2180289
11.745434 1.1778393
11.773638 1.2419371
11.801764 1.2097937
11.830269 1.2287993
11.858836 1.1911051
11.886813 1.2162679
11.914542 1.1910197
11.942121 1.2337591
11.970178 1.2127742
11.997352 1.2153357
12.025054 1.1922007
12.052716 1.2300704
12.080291 1.1976687
12.107742 1.2395383
12.135554 1.1874779
12.163206 1.2305001
12.190824 1.1958361
12.217868 1.2211957
12.245476 1.1962153
12.273051 1.1976949
12.30095 1.2196102
12.328289 1.207996
12.355713 1.2042863
12.383488 1.2250975
12.411088 1.1965816
12.438555 1.2023806
12.466642 1.2114318
12.494093 1.2030813
12.523115 1.2069448
12.551059 1.1818725
12.579526 1.1601424
12.611878 1.2682739
12.640864 1.208453
12.669753 1.1778262
12.698213 1.1955644
12.726988 1.2173013
12.7555 1.2285261
12.783911 1.1976348
12.812731 1.2153762
12.840691 1.181209
12.868953 1.2039535
12.896746 1.2242992
12.925039 1.1672466
12.952863 1.2229577
12.980698 1.2224405
13.008598 1.1837137
13.035781 1.2149173
13.063645 1.2211824
13.091196 1.1987184
13.119222 1.1783848
13.146595 1.2065174
13.174372 1.1889748
13.20191 1.1992834
13.229673 1.1534968
13.257167 1.2012189
13.284523 1.1340704
13.312138 1.1234717

Velocity and Resistance Data

Velocity and Resistance Data

Velocity and Resistance Data

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